Arrowhead Addict 2010 Mock Draft: Version 6.0

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It’s past due for this blog to post another mock Draft, which we have not since free agency started. Our last one was commandeered by Paddy, before all the trading and moving about has happened.

Those moves have consequences, of course, and many of them have, in my opinion, redetermined selections all over this first round, as high as the second overall pick.

Without further ado:

Pick	Team	Player Selected	Player’s Position	Player’s School	Analysis
1.		Sam Bradford	Quarterback	Oklahoma	It’s not entirely out of the question for the Rams to go DL at this point, but I’d think it’d be very unlikely given the high picks they have so far whiffed on (Adam Carriker has struggled as a DT penetrator, and Chris Long is going to need more time). There are rumors circulating out there that the Redskins might be sniffing around Carriker, and if that’s the case, the Rams go Suh here. Until then, the Rams are going to make a much-needed trip to the Franchise Reset button and pick up a beefed-up Bradford.
2.		Russell Okung	Offensive Tackle	Oklahoma State	The great state of Oklahoma provides the two top picks this year, as the Lions forego what many of us had assumed they would do the entire offseason and ignore their defensive line with the #2 overall. Suh or McCoy would provide help to the Lions DL, but it’s not much needed help anymore: the Lions traded for Corey Williams and therefore have too much money tied up at defensive tackle already. The Lions do, however, need to protect the Lions’ best QB prospect ever in Matt Stafford, and Okung is the safest pick in the Draft. This allows Jeff Backus to move over to LG and the Lions have a pretty nice situation shaping up on their offense.
3.		Ndamukong Suh	Defensive Tackle	Nebraska	As thrilled as many Bucs fans would be to see Suh fall to them, it still wouldn’t surprise me if the Bucs actually opted for Gerald McCoy instead — McCoy is much more of a penetrator than Suh is, much closer to the vein of Buccaneer Hall of Famer Warren Sapp. But Suh is regarded to be the best player in the Draft, and if that’s the case the Bucs do the smart thing and pluck him up. The Bucs are 100% certain to go defensive tackle, 0% chance to go Eric Berry as some people have guessed. If Eric Berry goes early, it’s to the Lions.
4.		Jimmy Clausen	Quarterback	Notre Dame	New regimes mean new quarterbacks. I actually like Jason Campbell and think he has just been expected to be a competent QB for the most incompetent franchise in the NFL. But nonetheless, Campbell’s time is done with Shanahan coming in. Shanahan will take Clausen if he’s there simply because Clausen is an accurate, NFL-ready QB who can handle the biggest stage. Clausen’s prickly personality won’t shy away the coach who loved Cutler and Jake Plummer. Clausen doesn’t make it to Kansas City, unfortunately.

5.		Eric Berry	Safety	Tennessee	This is by no means a sure thing, Chiefs fans. (Although it becomes a lot more likely with Okung going to the Lions.) I think there are three serious options here: (1.) Berry, as elite a prospect as there is, (2.) Brian Bulaga, because of Pioli’s Ferenz connection, but Bulaga is a ridiculous reach that would make the Tyson Jackson selection look like a freakin’ value pick by comparison, and (3.) Gerald McCoy, who is becoming far more likely to drop to this pick. McCoy is essentially Glenn Dorsey except that he’s a far better fit for the 3-4, so if Dorsey has been traded, there’s no question Pioli would rather go with DL than with Berry.
6.		Gerald McCoy	Defensive Tackle	Oklahoma	With no viable QBs left on the board, the Seahawks see a crazy great value pick in Gerald McCoy. I’m in the minority of draftniks who actually believes McCoy is going to be a better player than Suh — he has virtually no injury history and has a longer track record.
7.		C.J. Spiller	Running Back	Clemson	This is an incredibly difficult pick for the Browns. No QB at this point is worth taking. The defensive players that have been so often mocked to them — McClain and Haden — have looked so ridiculously awful this offseason. So I think the Browns trade either up or down, or they go with the best skill position player they can find.The choice is Spiller or Dez Bryant. The space between Bryant’s ears is so unpredictable, there’s really no way to know if he’ll make it out of this league in one piece despite his amazing talent. I’m of the opinion that Spiller’s more talented, anyway.
8.		Bruce Campbell	Offensive Tackle	Maryland	This goes without saying, given Campbell’s athletic freakishness.First DHB last year, then Campbell this year. There’s something in the water in Maryland that creates these kinds of freaks…
9.		Trent Williams	Offensive Tackle	Oklahoma	All things being equal, I believe the Bills would go for a nose tackle here to anchor their defense. But there is going to be a historic run on offensive tackles in this first round, and it’s possible that this will be Buffalo’s only chance to pick up elite OL talent.I mean, it’s a deep OT class, but a ton of them could be going in this first round this year, unlike anything we’ve ever seen.
10.		Jason Pierre-Paul	Defensive End	South Florida	I could go with a detailed explanation, but Paddy broke this one down simply enough:”Pierre-Paul is shooting up draft boards and the Jags need a pass rush. This kid has tons of upside.”
11.		Taylor Mays	Safety	USC	All things being equal again, I think McDaniels would opt for Dez Bryant to give him the leverage he needs to part ways with Brandon Marshall. But Bryant is such a potential headcase, you can’t really go there and be confident with the #11 overall.I honestly think Dan Williams would be the better pick, but with Jamal Williams on board, it’s just not the smart pick. Instead they pick up the best player on the board at this point, Taylor Mays, because Brian Dawkins is pretty much done.
12.		Dan Williams	Defensive Tackle	Tennessee	There are a trio of players available here that Parcells is in love with, I’m sure: (1.) CB Joe Haden, whose awful workouts have dropped him to here, (2.) ILB Rolando McClain, a quarterback on the field that will make any defense his own, and (3.) NT Dan Williams, the highest rated big ugly on the board.Although honestly, it wouldn’t surprise me if Parcells goes with Terrance Cody, since Cody is much closer to Jason Ferguson than Williams is. But Williams’ upside is too high to pass on.
13.		Anthony Davis	Offensive Tackle	Rutgers	The Niners would have preferred to go offensive tackle with the 16th instead of the 13th, but the early run on tackles is going so fast that they have to jump on the best talent possible. I like Davis a lot despite his workouts, but I mostly think the dropoff from him to Bulaga or Brown is too sharp, and the Seahawks will definitely be going tackle with the next pick. So if you’re the Niners, you get the value while you can.
14.	(Den)	Charles Brown	Offensive Tackle	USC	Best available offensive tackle for the Seahawks, and Seattle’s gamble on McCoy (instead of any OT they wanted at the #6 overall) has paid off. Sure, tackles have gone fast and furious, but Bulaga and Brown still remain on the board.Far as I know, this is the earliest Charles Brown has gone in any mock this year. But (a.) he has looked great all year at USC, weighed in well, and knows the techniques of the blind side better than any tackle in this Draft, and (b.) Brian Bulaga just doesn’t look good to me anymore. He looks like an elite RT, or a decent LT with zero upside.
15.		Brian Price	Defensive Tackle	UCLA	I feel like I’m in Oz with a couple picks in this Draft. The idea that the Steelers or the Jets seriously need to go defense in this Draft seems to counterintuitive it’s just goofy. The same goes for the Giants, who somehow are actually going to need to stock up on DL this Draft if they’re able to.This choice was between Price and Derrick Morgan. Brian Price is an overlooked talent — a pure penetrator that the Giants haven’t had at defensive tackle in some time. I’d go defensive end here if I could but other than Derrick Morgan’s limited upside, there’s not much to excite here.
16.	(CAR)	Derrick Morgan	Defensive End	Georgia Tech	There’s really no explanation needed here except for why the Titans would opt for Morgan other than the other available passrushing talent…The Titans aren’t in rebuilding mode — they need the best talent they can get now, and Morgan is the best 4-3 DE in this Draft. He’s the quickest transition and the surest thing over everybody else.
17.		Joe Haden	Cornerback	Florida	WHAT?!?!? JOE HADEN FELL HERE!?!?Yes, yes he did. Cornerback is one of those positions that will spook teams if they don’t see the measurables they like. Haden is now arguing that he had a sprained back at the Combine — that’s right, he would rather have teams believe he’s coming off an injury than that he’s slow. Nevertheless, the Niners are willing to see what he’s made of. Their secondary is in flux right now so he could start right away or get limited reps as a backup.
18.		Rolando McClain	Inside Linebacker	Alabama	The Steelers are downright ancient in the middle of their linebacking corps — and unlike the Patriots, they don’t prefer to keep it that way.McClain is solid value for the Steelers. Pittsburgh just about values linebackers above everything else anyway so this is a match made in Heaven, or at least the middle of the first round.
19.		Brandon Graham	Defensive End	Michigan	The Falcons need to help their quarterback, and they need help getting to the other team’s quarterback. This choice, for me at least, would be between Dez Bryant and the best passrusher available, in this case Brandon Graham.Dez Bryant remains just too much of a personality red flag for me to opt for him — I think he’s going to drop to a particular team that doesn’t care about those kinds of red flags. Some people have suggested that the Falcons might opt for Sean Weatherspoon, but I seriously dislike spending this high of a pick on a weakside linebacker…
20.		Earl Thomas	Safety	Texas	The Texans pick a local talent for a much needed improvement in their secondary. This gives the Houstons SS Bernard Pollard and FS Earl Thomas locking down their safety position for the next ten years. Corner desperately needs to be improved with multiple picks for this secondary to rise to the Peyton Manning Challenge twice a year. Fortunately for the Texans, this Draft is silly-deep at corner.
21.		Dez Bryant	Wide Receiver	Oklahoma State	The Bengals, always in flux with headcases, need to get their wide receiver corps back to the top of the league. Bryant has some personal issues that would scare away most teams, but his great physical tools are the perfect match for Chad Ochocinco’s skillset.Bryant’s personality won’t scare the Bengals away, but his complete inexperience at route running will — but he simply offers too much ability to be passed on.
22.		Jermaine Gresham	Tight End	Oklahoma	The Patriots need more hands down the field, but this is kind of a skinny WR crop in this year’s Draft, and there’s not a lot of elite talent.Of the little elite talent there is, Gresham’s actually one of your best options. This is a team that needs to give Tom Brady a good run for the years he has left, and the team has a hole at tight end.
23.		Bryan Bulaga	Offensive Tackle	Iowa	I disagree with Paddy when talking about Bulaga: I don’t think he has a high ceiling at all, but I think he’s probably a slightly above average starter in this league. That’s his potential… But while he doesn’t have a high ceiling, he certainly doesn’t have a low floor, either. He’s going to be reliable for whomever takes him, although I doubt he’s ever outstanding.This Packers team could desperately use that reliability on the blindside. Bulaga falls here.
24.		Everson Griffen	Defensive End	USC	There are three things that are for certain in this life: death, taxes, and the Eagles needing a passrusher across from Trent Cole. The choice is between the underachieving but promising Griffen, and the fine track record but troubling Carlos Dunlap.I love Griffen on the left side, but it’s going to be interesting if Andy Reid thinks he can get some productivity out of this guy’s amazing talent. So far, Griffen has had a lot of trouble figuring that out. I think Dunlap’s character concerns are a no-go for the Birds.
25.		Jared Odrick	Defensive End	Penn State	The Ravens have done their best Patriots impression and tried to sign and trade for an entirely new WR corps. As a result, this pick is NOT a receiver for the first time all offseason. Now we look to their defense.The Ravens front seven relies on more than Ray Lewis, it relies on a dominant DL. Odrick is the best 3-4 DE in this Draft, and has the ability to get into the backfield but will need help playing the run. With the Ravens’ top-ranked run defense, I somehow think he’ll get that support.
26.		Sergio Kindle	Outside Linebacker	Texas	The Cardinals have oddly relied on their 3-4 defensive line for sacks for waaaaay too long. These guys need help, ‘Zona. Kindle is a product and is by no means a sure thing, but he offers the physicality the Cards are starving for at the position.
27.		Mike Iupati	Offensive Guard	Idaho	For every word I type explaining why the Cowboys would like to draft a massive roadgrader at guard, I feel like I am wasting pixel space.
28.		Terrance Cody	Defensive Tackle	Alabama	There aren’t a lot of great running backs in this Draft, but the Chargers do not have a lot of holes and they can move up and down all over this Draft if they want to.Without Jamal Williams, the Chargers have absolutely zero talent in the middle of their defensive line. There is no nose tackle talent in free agency, and as always, available noses in this Draft are few and far between. I think Cody is the best nose in this entire Draft if he plays up to his potential, and I don’t think the Chargers release Williams without knowing that they will get Cody here.
29.		Jerry Hughes	Outside Linebacker	Texas Christian	Hughes is the combination of size and power that Rex Ryan hungers for at passrusher. Hughes has a pretty good upside but essentially he’s just a perfect fit for this system.
30.		Kyle Wilson	Cornerback	Boise State	Much like the Fiesta Bowl this year, Boise State and TCU face up against one another. TCU’s stud finds a great place in a great defense in New York, and Wilson is going to love the opportunistic lifestyle of a Vikings corner. Wilson has the kind of fast-twitch athleticism that makes him a better athlete than most of the wide receivers he’ll be covering.Wilson marking Percy Harvin in practice, by the way? Purely golden entertainment.
31.		Rodger Saffold	Offensive Tackle	Indiana	A lot of teams have been mocking a center to the Colts, but Jeff Saturday isn’t the problem here. The problem is on the edges. Peyton Manning doesn’t need elite protection but he needs good protection, and he’s just not getting that on the edges.I understand that Saffold is a controversial pick here, but the tackle dropoff after him is very steep, and Saffold was as good as any left tackle in the league in the Big Ten against a ton of talented passrushers. I think he’s an unheralded talent that should surely go in the second round, but has enough versatility and experience that a first round sneak might not be out of the question.
32.		Sean Weatherspoon	Outside Linebacker	Missouri	The Saints can take a luxury pick here and pick up the best 4-3 outside linebacker we’ve seen come out of the Draft in freakin’ years.

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Patrick Allen

Well done Andrew.

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Ehud

1) If the Redskins are truly looking at Carriker, I smell shenanigans. Perhaps Shanahan is getting Carriker so that Rams go DT, so that Bradford will fall to Redskins.

2) It is looking more and more like Detroit will go LT despite their public support for their current LT. Although, perhaps Berry is a dark horse here.

4) Don’t count out a LT here even if Okung is off the board.

5) I think that as we see the Chiefs FA moves it is starting to look like we might not go LT. It will depend on if we sign Lilja or not and whether he is a starter for us. If we do, and he is a starter, I think it won’t be LT. If that’s the case then either McClain or Berry seems like the choice here.

6) Disagree. Haden goes here. Too much good tape on him and to quote Patches O’Houlihan, Cleveland “sucks something awful” against the pass.

8) This is the surest pick in the draft.

14) Disagree that Brown goes before Bulaga. Swap Bulaga with Brown.

16 & 17) I think you mixed up the analysis on these.

22) Belichick pretty much came out and said he didn’t have enough talent on defense this year. I think he goes DE, Jared Odrick here.

25) I think Ravens may go CB here, Kyle Wilson.

30) I think Devin McCourty goes here. As a dark horse, Pouncey.

31) Big fan of Saffold. Not sure he goes this high though. With Lilja being cut, Indy has a hole at Guard that M. Pouncey can fill while learning the ropes from one of the smartest Centers in the game.

I think this is your best mock yet.

Matt

You have Taylor Mays tremendously overrated. The only way he breaks the top 20 is if Al Davis has another episode of brain diarrhea.

dubldug

Here's another thought for you. Clancy was to coach the db's and is gone, so maybe Coach Emmitt will be able to bring Morgan and Washington on board as contributing db's and we don't need to draft one. So take Berry out the equation and then who do you draft. We can only speculate unless someone makes know the teams draft analysis board.

merlin

dubldug:

I don't think we will go JPP. As you suggested, he has huge bust potential.

As far as the mock, Berry worries me. I wasn't impressed in Tennessee's bowl game as he didn't stand out like a top tier talent should. Also he is an inexperienced junior with 1 year of professional type coaching, being hyped like Dorsey and Suh. I really hate saying this, but if we cannot trade out, the o-line is problably the best pick.

Anybody think we pick the pass rush end JPP from S.Fla.? We need speed and big plays, and sacks are big plays. He is kinda like Gholston and I am leary, but he has jumped way up most draft boards and is being referred as the next Freeney.

Jb Hart

Here is my 2 cents (first of all isn't it great to be excited about the Chiefs again!)If we can get O'Kung at 5 do it.If not and the next best OL man is there grab him.Berry probably won't be there, and there are good DB's later in this draft.I love Blair White from MSU, and man if he falls to 4th round, got to pick him, even the 3rd round. Dorsey? Jackson?
A tough one, 2 d lineman first round. Got to give them time. We have a new D-Line coach and a new DC.We need a NT we don't have one.If the draft follows the free agent signings, we will see major improvement right away. Red White and Gold! Let's Rock!!!!!

adam

they should try to get terrance cody in the second! He will fill the void at NT. Shaun Smith is not an upgrade from Ron Edwards.

if okung is gone... Bulaga, Berry, or McClain would be a good first pick!

your comments on B. Bulaga are stupid. He would be a great LT. Would not be a reach at all! And when Tyson Jackson is a dominant DE in 2 yrs I can't wait for all you negative chief fans to realize you don't know what you are talking about! With the pick up of Casey Wiegmann I don't think KC will draft a LT. They need so much help on D they could take McCoy if he's there who is nothing like Dorsey...or Berry or McClain. I don't think they will take McCoy because they have Dorsey and Jackson. McCoy is not a NT.

On nlfdraftscout, drafttek and scout.com big boards:

Bulaga is ranked 8th, 12th, and 15th
Mays is ranked 13th, 13th, and 12th
Spiller is ranked 6th, 9th and 8th

Bulaga is a huge reach at 5 because??????

Lenny

I can think of 3 good reasons to stick with Dorsey:
1. He already has a year playing 3-4 end, McCoy may look better, but there's never any guarantees with lineman, and atleast we do know Dorsey can play the position.

2. You would be taking the same position in the same slot two years later, meaning you would be paying McCoy more than you're paying Dorsey now.

3. If you really want Tamba to have a huge year, you want him to be next to someone he's familiar with. Dorsey qualifies, McCoy does not.

However, since you actually show us taking Berry, i will say very good draft, though i wouldn't rule out Tampa taking a tackle. I don't know much about their line, but i do know that coaching staff likely isn't around if Freeman doesn't win a couple games. They should be looking to protect their savior like the Lions should be looking to protect theirs.