Merlin’s Magic: Functional Speed Edition

by Chiefs

As we continue the ramp up to the draft, I want to talk about the concept of functional speed. The Combine is fast approaching, so we are going to get inundated with talk about someone’s time in the 40 yard dash. However, when you listen to NFL scouts, they will use the concept of ‘functional speed’ weighting that more than someone’s track speed. How do we, as fans, figure out what player has functional speed versus good track speed?

There are many factors involved, so let’s break two players down. To keep emotions out of it, I will call them Player A and Player B. Both these players carry first round grades but play different defensive positions. Neither one plays on the defensive line, so run and pass support are both issues. I am going to take some quotes from their scouting reports done by the fine folks at New Era Scouting. I will reveal the players names and link to their full scouting reports at the end of the article.

Both players have very good 40 yard dash times. So, on pure track speed, they are pretty much the same. What happens when we look further? Let’s go through a hypothetical play and see how they stand up.

First the player has to recognize the play. Player A “ Likes to play it safe, which causes late reaction in the passing game.” So, Player A tends to wait a bit, to diagnose the play. This is an area that downgrades a player’s functional speed. What about Player B? “ Recognition skills are at an elite level.” So far, Player B has a bit of an edge. He recognizes fast, while Player A tends to wait a bit.

The play has been recognized. Do the players take the right angle to position themselves properly? Player A “ Takes outstanding angles”. This is very positive for Player A. He is smart and takes the right angle when he diagnoses the play. How does Player B stack up? “Is never out of place….He takes correct angles to the ball carrier. Both players score well here. Once they have recognized the play, they know where they need to be and how to get there.

Now the player needs to get there. How do they rate with acceleration and quickness? Player A “While he does really get going when running deep, his acceleration rate is average.” So, Player A can run with many players, but his acceleration is average. What about Player B? “Has a great first step off the snap that amplifies his ball recognition skills.” Player B keeps getting better. With Player A, it seems to take him some time to get up to his elite speed.

When I read the full scouting reports on these players, I get two very different pictures. Player A impresses me as the type of player that has performed well on the college level because he is a very good athlete. I question his ability to grow into a good football player in the NFL. For me, one really bad sign is this part of his scouting report: “gives a huge cushion because of his lack of ability to change direction”. This may kill him at the next level. You can’t give NFL receivers a huge cushion and a lack of ability to change direction will get you burned early and often.

Player B shows great skills that will translate well to the NFL level of play. He diagnoses a play fast, takes the right angles and gets going fast. This is the type of player that plays faster than his 40 time. Player A is the type of player that plays slower than his 40 time.

Personally, I wouldn’t touch Player A. He is fast and takes the right angles. However, he waits to make his decision and does not accelerate well. He will probably do very well during the Combine. So, I am waiting for the stories of his draft stock rising. I think the moral to this story is that track speed is only one factor in assessing a player’s functional speed. We should all keep that in mind every draft season.

Who are these players? Player A is Taylor Mays. Player B is Rolando McClain.

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Awesome post Merlin.
Love your insight and the thought process that goes into it. I will take Berry also, Please

I think that's fair.

The lack of versatility part, not the coverage part.

Andrew:

"That said, acceleration and ability to cover are not what Mays does" I know it's tough to ask a safety to cover someone. From my standpoint, I will be a pain and insist on that skill. Mays is limited and Crennel loves versatility on defense. I just don't see a fit for him in KC.

That said, acceleration and ability to cover are not what Mays does. I wouldn't like him as a prospect either if I was going to put him in coverage situations. That's a square peg, round hole situation.

Mays plays best, and proved it at the Senior Bowl, that he's a pure centerfielder. USC used him that way and a team in the NFL who relies on free safeties to cover tons of ground (which we likely would) will love that. I continue to believe that Mays will not make it out of the first round, and the Chiefs could do well by plucking him up.

"For me, one really bad sign is this part of his scouting report: “gives a huge cushion because of his lack of ability to change direction”. This may kill him at the next level. You can’t give NFL receivers a huge cushion and a lack of ability to change direction will get you burned early and often."

Ladies and gentleman, the 2009 Chiefs secondary.

Flowers and Carr had to constantly give receivers cushion because Brown and McGraw weren't fast enough to cover them.

This was a great way of looking at speed. I never thought of it that way, that is Why Flowers who has a sub par 40 is still a great player.

Way to go, Merlin! Here's to hoping McClain lands in KC this year.

Let's just call Player A (Taylor Mays) a result of the Al Davis affect. For those of us familiar with Mays he has all of the physical tools in the world. If these tools were utilizied he would be an unworldly player, and on a tools only analysis, probably the best player in the draft. The failures in his game are "coachable" and could be corrected. At least in the mind of Al Davis, thus the Al Davis Affect, or ADA from here on out.

Would I like Taylor Mays on the team? Yes. Do I realize that he has a huge bust potential due to his lack of natural game instincts? Yes. If, and this is a big if, Mays falls to the second round we have to take him. At that point the potential outweighs the concern. However, in the first round you want a guarentee, and he is no guarentee.

Nicely done. I'm very skeptical of Taylor Mays myself. I want Eric Berry!

Well done, Merlin. Very interesting way to look at it!

well done article. hopefully when scott and todd talk about good football players that is part of the equation. didn't they used to call good football instincts?