I apologize to those of you who missed the Accuscore last week (Ah hem…Randy). The spread on this week’s game is 2 points with the over/under at 37 points. After 10,000 simulations, Accuscore has the average score as Browns 20.1 and Chiefs 20.4. Wow, that is close!
Here is what ESPN’s Insider had to say, (heads up, they absolutely trash Matt Cassel):
“AccuScore was one of the few sources that did not believe Matt Cassel was a legit starting QB. His 21 TD, 11 INT production in New England was actually pretty poor when you consider the overall talent of his team. His sub-55 percent completion percentage and 13 TD, 13 INT ratio to go along with 13 fumbles (3 lost) make him one of the 7 worst starters in the NFL. In simulations he has just a 72 passer rating against Cleveland and the Chiefs are slight 52 percent favorites. If Cassel throws 1+ TDs and no more than 1 INT the Chiefs chances increase to 63 percent. However, if the Browns sack Cassel 4+ times, pressure him all game and force at least 1 INT, Cleveland is a 69 percent favorite”.
Ouch! What do you think Addicts? Go Chiefs!
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This game is looking harder than I though a few weeks ago. I watched the Browns beat the Steelers last week and I have to tell you they looked pretty good.
Their corners were all over the receivers and they sacked Big Ben 8 times!
Haley better have a game plan ready to handle all that pressure.
On offense, I expect the Browns will pretty much focus on runnning it between the tackles. The only real question for me is whether we can stop them from doing that?
On defense, I would be surprised if they considered our passing game to pose a significant threat.
I can see this game being about as ugly as they come. No fireworks with the winner being decided by a combination of penalties and/or turnover margin. A final score of 3-0 in double OT wouldn’t shock me one bit.