The Chiefs have a decent shot at winning this week. The opening line on this game is 4.5 points. Denver is favored and the over/under is 38.5 points. This one is going to be close. After 10,000 game simulations Denver wins 69% of the time with an average score Broncos 22.5 and Chiefs 16.5.
“For the Chiefs to upset Denver they need Matt Cassel to have at least 200+ yards, 1+ TD passes, no more than 1 INT and Jamaal Charles to average at least 5 ypc. When the Chiefs offense can execute this well they have a 50 percent chance. However, the Broncos defense righted the ship against the Giants and there is only a 15 percent chance that the Chiefs can achieve these levels of performance. The only other way the Chiefs can win is if Denver turns the ball over at a high rate. If the Chiefs are +2 in turnover margin they have a 60 percent chance of beating Denver.”
I wonder if the media is going to play upon the McDaniels/Cassel fiasco which occurred earlier in the year? So far, I have not heard much. Presumably, McDaniels should be very familiar with Cassel, specifically his weaknesses. Hopefully he cannot exploit the same. I say Jamal Charles needs to be the star of the game. Keep the game close in the first half and let it loose in the second. Seems like Haley’s way, correct?
So Addicts, how are we going to win this game?
Here is the report: