Accuscore: Chiefs vs. Chargers

So much for Accuscore, huh? That’s why they play the games, right? The KC Chiefs only had a 12 percent chance to beat the Steelers if Charles ran for over 5.0 ypc and held the Steelers to less than 300 yards. Neither happened and we stil won.

This week the Chargers are favored by 13.5 points with an over/under of 45.0. After 10,000 simulations the Steelers win 88 percent of the time with an average score of Chiefs 14.1 and Chargers 29.2.

Per Accuscore: “The Chiefs capitalized on 3 Pittsburgh turnovers to pull off that upset. If they force 3 or more turnovers this week the Chiefs double their chances, but still only win 26 percent of the time. This is because the Chargers defense is playing well and holding the Chiefs to just 14 points per simulation. For KC to pull off the upset they not only have to force 3+ Chargers turnovers, they also have to turn the ball over no more than once and Matt Cassell has to pass for 2+ TDs. If they do all these things KC is a the 51 percent favorite”.

Here is the link:
http://espn.go.com/nfl/intel?gameId=291129024

What do you think? We have rattled Rivers before, can we do it again?  Can we make it three in a row? Sure would be nice, wouldn’t it?

 

Here is another link detailing keys KC needs in order to beat the Chargers:

http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=4683424

 

Enjoy everyone and have a good, safe and HAPPY THANKSGIVING!

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