Accuscore: Steelers vs. Chiefs

Here you go Randy. According to Vegas, the Steelers are favored to win by 10 (only ten?). The over/under is 40. After 10,000 simulations the average score is Steelers 27.2 vs. Chiefs 13.7, with the Steelers winning 84 percent of those simulations.

Per Accuscore: “The Steelers offense only had 256 yards in their loss to the Bengals. However, the Chiefs are in the bottom 8 in run defense and in the bottom 10 in passing defense. There is only a 12 percent chance that the Chiefs can hold the Steelers offense to under 300 yards. If they can do this the Chiefs have a 35 percent chance (+20 percentage point improvement), but to pull off the upset the Chiefs will also need Jamal Charles to have at least 3 explosive runs and a 5.0 ypc average. If he can do this and the Chiefs allow under 300 yards Kansas City is a 53 percent favorite.”

So Charles just has to average 5.0 ypc and the Chiefs hold the Steelers to under 300 yards?!? No problem? Right?

Here is the Accuscore report:
http://espn.go.com/nfl/intel?gameId=291122012

102win says:

November 18, 2009 at 4:33 pm

Just to add a little fuel….. With Bowe out, if we compare the 22 starting Steelers against our 22 starters, would we have the better player at any position? Maybe Alberts, I am not sure-that is pretty sad!

matthill82 says:

November 18, 2009 at 8:38 pm

102, i understand your point, but we’re certainly not the only team in the league with lower per-position grades when compared to the defending Super Bowl champions.

Now, i’m not excusing the Chiefs’ mediocrity, but wouldn’t 5 or 6 other teams be in the same position against Pittsburgh?

I know it sucks that it’s “our turn in the barrel”, but we’ve been on the Steelers’ side of this argument in the past, and we’ll get there again!

November 19, 2009 at 12:00 am

I know, BUT do we have 1 in 22? This is why we better be a big player in FA.