Comments on: A.A.D.Q.: L.J. Over/Under

By: xxxlp

xxxlp — Sat, 23 Aug 2008 09:09:14 +0000

Sean, I think what he means is that LJ keeps the chains moving in the 4th quarters especially. He may not pop off his 20 yard runs. But he consistently got us 3-4-5-6 yard carries late in games when he NEEDED to get those yards. He stays consistent throughout most of the game, and by crunch time, the defenses are just too tired to put up with his bashing style of running. I also think zone blocking will help out a little bit, especially on our weaker right side. But I’m still going to take the under. NFL Network pegs him at about 1100 yards with 7-8 TD’s (can’t remember which, saw it earlier today as I was watching a game.) My guess would be between 1100-1400 yards.

By: jay

jay — Fri, 22 Aug 2008 22:03:42 +0000

My whole grain wheat side says under, our backups are plenty talented and the receiving core should be solid, but my frosted side says over with good blocking in Chan’s run heavy offense. Most of the time I’m frosted so over I guess.

I haven’t been around for a while, but you must have really changed your mind about Croyle. The name too sacred to utter is usually reserved for a deity.

By: SEANBCOOL

SEANBCOOL — Fri, 22 Aug 2008 21:08:38 +0000

JASON, I pretty much disagree with that entire comment.

First of all, I know last season seemed like an eternity, but that was the only season where they said anything about limiting LJ’s touches. So I’m not sure where you’re getting “every year”.

And as far as him getting stronger in the 3rd and 4th quarters, how do you figure? In his amazing 1750 yard, 9 start season, he tended to rack up most of his yards in the first half.

By: JASON

JASON — Fri, 22 Aug 2008 14:29:22 +0000

OVER, every year they give us that “we’re going to limit his touches” then when the shit hits the fan in crunch time there he goes run after run killin the other defense. REMEMBER LJ ALWAYS GETS STRONGER IN THE 3rd AND 4th QTRS.

By: Double D

Double D — Fri, 22 Aug 2008 14:06:02 +0000

I’ll take the over – he’s still the feature back and I believe the stats tend to show that our odds of winning go up considerably when LJ goes over a 100 yds. Herm doesn’t ignore stats.

By: ArkansasDave

ArkansasDave — Fri, 22 Aug 2008 13:53:25 +0000

If we try to win in the first half instead of trying not to lose in the first half. (Crossing my fingers for Chan’s offense.) Then we might get to see a lot more running, instead of passing/playing catch up in the second half. I’m going OVER… LJ says he’s healthy and he wants to play – they’ll give him however many carries he wants to handle.

By: jester

jester — Fri, 22 Aug 2008 13:24:13 +0000

I’m with Woody on this one. I think UNDER because others, mainly J Charles, will get more carries and playing time, especially in third down situations.

By: woody

woody — Fri, 22 Aug 2008 09:15:14 +0000

under…just because of how many capable backs we have..I think they will disperse carries more than you think…That possibility and that they seem determined to limit his carries…

plus if I keep my hopes low I will be more surprised if it happens…

By: SEANBCOOL

SEANBCOOL — Fri, 22 Aug 2008 08:36:39 +0000

I’ll say over as well, but mostly because I’m a huge LJ fan. It’s possible that we’ll have to accept that the days of 1750 yards seasons are over.

By: byazell

byazell — Fri, 22 Aug 2008 05:10:04 +0000

have to agree, much better circumstances going into this season… OVER